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Sunday, January 24, 2010

College Football's Next Decade - My Predictions

Okay... I've noticed several articles discussing the decade we have just concluded in college football.  The big thing is now is to predict the future of college football for the next 10 years... where will college football be in mid-January 2020.  Well... I've been following college football as long as any of these so-called experts, and I beleive my predictions are just as good as theirs.  So here I go...

My predictions for College Football over the next 10 years...

1.  Notre Dame's continued decline as a football power.  Hey... most teams go through slumps and some even do worse... Minnesota, TCU, etc.  Sometimes really great programs go through decades of program decline.  By the end of the next 10 years, Notre Dame will be wishing they had joined the Big 10 when the offers were there.  Now in the second decade of the 21st centrury, they find themselves happy to be a part of the Big East Conference.

2.  Conference realignments... and I'm not talking about just adding the nearby school with a winning program.  I'm a TCU fan and as "logical" as it sounds for TCU to join the Big 12 once the opportunity arrises, it will never happen.  The Big 12 does not need TCU.  TCU's future will be discussed later in my blog.  Sometime around 2015 conference realignments will be harsh... excluding schools like Baylor, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Wake Forest and Duke... yes, even Duke.  Much like the Big East has different conference members for football and basketball, other conferences will follow with the same pattern.  Duke and Wake Forest will be ACC basketball members, but not included in the football conference with the larger programs.  If a school is going to be included in the big change, they have better bring in big bucks, big alumni groups or a really big TV market.

3.  Programs on the rise in the next decade will include big schools that are getting their programs together like Minnesota, North Texas, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Washington, Illinois, Syracuse and Houston.  Other programs making their mark during this time will be SMU, Michigan State, UConn, UNLV, Virginia and Texas Tech.

 4.  Programs on the decline over the next 10 years will include Notre Dame, Michigan, USC, Tennessee, Florida State and Penn State.

5.  NCAA super powers over the next 10 years will be Texas, Ohio State, Pittsburgh and Alabama.

6.  Boise State, TCU, BYU and Utah will continue to be solid programs during the next decade, but none of these will play in a BCS Championship Game.

7.  With backing from a foreign investor, the Cintra Cotton Bowl, played at Cowboy Stadium will become the most profitable bowl game.  This game will also cause a disruption in the BCS system, claiming the winner the true college football champion.

8.  The State of Texas will become the center of college football with Texas winning three National Championships.  Texas A&M, Texas Tech, TCU, SMU and Houston will also be football powers.

9.  Rice and Temple will drop their football programs.

10.  As the decade nears 2020, a true play-off for college football will be just as far from being a reality as it is now.

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